FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Omar Alderete a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 32?

Gameweek 32 · SUN · DEF · £4.1m

Alderete
DEFSUN

Alderete

SUN

103

Pts

1.5

Form

£4.1m

Price

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Ownership

6.6%

Form (last 6 GWs)

1.5

Expected pts, GW32

1.5

Transfers in this GW

9k

FPL ownership

6.6% of managers own Alderete

0%
Strong diffDifferentialMild diff
100%

Fixture run

GW32

Spurs

Spurs

Home

GW33

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away

GW34

Nott'm Forest

Nott'm Forest

Home

GW35

Wolves

Wolves

Away

DIFFERENTIAL

At 6.6% ownership, Alderete qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation.

  • Ownership: 6.6% - solid differential range
  • Expected points: 1.5 xPts for GW32 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 6.6% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 93% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Alderete as a differential in GW32

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 6.6%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 93% of managers who do not own him.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 1.5 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 1.5 xPts projected for GW32. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Alderete Differential Analysis Gameweek 32

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 6.6% ownership, Alderete qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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