The Best FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 1

Mats Wieffer faces Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Mats Wieffer delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1 make Pascal Struijk one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Pascal Struijk right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Jake O'Brien heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Crystal Palace (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Jaka Bijol faces Nott'm Forest (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jaka Bijol delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Liverpool (H) in Gameweek 1 make Sven Botman one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Sven Botman right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Jack Hinshelwood heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.1 expected points against Aston Villa (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Brennan Johnson faces Crystal Palace (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Brennan Johnson delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 1 make Tijjani Reijnders one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.1 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Tijjani Reijnders right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Jacob Murphy heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.1 expected points against Liverpool (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Callum Hudson-Odoi faces Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Callum Hudson-Odoi delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brighton (A) in Gameweek 1 make Joao Gomes one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.3%. Getting Joao Gomes right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Keane Lewis-Potter heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Spurs (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Mathias Jensen faces Spurs (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Mathias Jensen delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Everton (A) in Gameweek 1 make Adam Wharton one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Adam Wharton right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Yeremy heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Everton (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Emile Smith Rowe faces Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.4%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Emile Smith Rowe delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Newcastle (A) in Gameweek 1 make Curtis Jones one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Curtis Jones right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Nico Gonzalez heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Bournemouth (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Joelinton faces Liverpool (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Joelinton delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1 make Omari Hutchinson one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Omari Hutchinson right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Rodrigo Bentancur heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Brentford (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Chemsdine Talbi faces Ipswich Town (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Chemsdine Talbi delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1 make Murillo one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.5 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.7%. Getting Murillo right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.3% of FPL managers own Pau heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 1.7 expected points against Brighton (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Kenny Tete faces Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 1.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Kenny Tete delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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