FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Jaka Bijol a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 38?

Gameweek 38 · Leeds · DEF · £3.9m

Bijol
DEFLeeds

Bijol

Leeds

98

Pts

6.0

Form

£3.9m

Price

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Ownership

1.3%

Form (last 6 GWs)

6.0

Expected pts, GW38

6

Transfers in this GW

22,978

FPL ownership

1.3% of managers own Bijol

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW38

West Ham

West Ham

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 1.3% ownership, Bijol has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 1.3% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 6 xPts for GW38 - strong return projection
  • Fixture run: mixed picture over the final gameweek of the season

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy upside: if you captain Bijol and he returns 12 points, you receive 24. At 1.3% ownership, approximately 99% of managers receive 0 captain points from him. That is the rank swing that makes differential captaincy one of the highest-leverage calls in the game - and the current data supports Bijol as a live option.

The case for Bijol as a strong differential in GW38

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 1.3%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 99% of managers who do not own him.
  • Expected points: 6 xPts projected for GW38 - the model backs a return at worthwhile odds for a differential play.
  • Form: 6.0 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.

Bijol Differential Analysis Gameweek 38

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 1.3% ownership, Bijol has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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