FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Diogo Dalot a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 2?

Gameweek 2 · Man Utd · DEF · £5.0m

Dalot
DEFMan Utd

Dalot

Man Utd

1

Pts

1.0

Form

£5.0m

Price

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Ownership

2.6%

Form (last 6 GWs)

1.0

Expected pts, GW2

2.2

Transfers in this GW

4,670

FPL ownership

2.6% of managers own Dalot

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW2

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

Home

GW3

Everton

Everton

Away

GW4

Man City

Man City

Home

GW5

Fulham

Fulham

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 2.6% ownership, Dalot has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 2.6% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 2.2 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 2.6% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 97% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Dalot as a differential in GW2

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 2.6%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 97% of managers who do not own him.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 1.0 pts/game so far this season - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 2.2 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Dalot Differential Analysis Gameweek 2

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 2.6% ownership, Dalot has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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