Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Affengruber or Branthwaite?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber is the stronger DEFCON profile at 12.00 actions per 90 against 10.80 for Branthwaite - a gap of 1.20 per 90. Over a 38-match season that difference works out to roughly 46 extra defensive contribution actions before any attacking upside is factored in.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Affengruber and Branthwaite compare?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber has logged 12 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 90 minutes (12.0 per 90). Branthwaite has logged 54 across 450 minutes (10.8 per 90). Affengruber earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 1 of 1 appearances this season; Branthwaite earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 5 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber is away at Ipswich Town (FDR 2) and Branthwaite is away at Hull City (FDR 2) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber has the DEFCON edge at 12.00 per 90 versus 10.80. That advantage costs £1.0m if Affengruber is dearer - work out whether the edge is worth the outlay in your specific squad. On DEFCON grounds alone Affengruber is the better profile, but £1.0m spent elsewhere may return more depending on where you are stretched.

David Affengruber vs Jarrad Branthwaite DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

David Affengruber vs Jarrad Branthwaite: DEFCON Analysis

Affengruber vs Branthwaite Gameweek 6

Affengruber has the better DEFCON rate and is £1.0m cheaper - is it a no-brainer for your squad?