Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Affengruber or Egan?

Accepted Answer

Barely anything in it. Affengruber averages 11.33 defensive contribution actions per 90 and Egan averages 11.13 - a gap of 0.20 that is inside the natural noise of any per-90 metric. On the workload alone this is a coin toss and the decision should rest on fixture, price and attacking output rather than DEFCON.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Affengruber and Egan compare?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber has logged 68 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 540 minutes (11.3 per 90). Egan has logged 93 across 752 minutes (11.1 per 90). Affengruber earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 4 of 6 appearances this season; Egan earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 5 of 9 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 10 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber is at home to Newcastle (FDR 3) and Egan is away at Arsenal (FDR 5) in Gameweek 10. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 10 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

The DEFCON workloads are too close to call. Both Affengruber and Egan deliver similar defensive contribution rates, so the pick should come down to price, fixtures and attacking output rather than DEFCON. On the defensive contributions alone this is a genuine coin toss.

David Affengruber vs John Egan DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 10

David Affengruber vs John Egan: DEFCON Analysis

Affengruber vs Egan Gameweek 10

Affengruber has the DEFCON edge but costs £0.4m more than Egan. Where should the money go?