Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Affengruber or Hill?

Accepted Answer

Barely anything in it. Affengruber averages 11.33 defensive contribution actions per 90 and Hill averages 11.22 - a gap of 0.11 that is inside the natural noise of any per-90 metric. On the workload alone this is a coin toss and the decision should rest on fixture, price and attacking output rather than DEFCON.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Affengruber and Hill compare?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber has logged 68 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 540 minutes (11.3 per 90). Hill has logged 101 across 810 minutes (11.2 per 90). Affengruber earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 4 of 6 appearances this season; Hill earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 5 of 9 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 10 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Affengruber is at home to Newcastle (FDR 3) and Hill is away at Ipswich Town (FDR 2) in Gameweek 10. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 10 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

The DEFCON workloads are too close to call. Both Affengruber and Hill deliver similar defensive contribution rates, so the pick should come down to price, fixtures and attacking output rather than DEFCON. On the defensive contributions alone this is a genuine coin toss.

David Affengruber vs James Hill DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 10

David Affengruber vs James Hill: DEFCON Analysis

Affengruber vs Hill Gameweek 10

Affengruber has the better DEFCON rate and is £1.0m cheaper - is it a no-brainer for your squad?