Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Botman or Virgil?

Accepted Answer

Botman is the stronger DEFCON profile at 11.29 actions per 90 against 9.44 for Virgil - a gap of 1.85 per 90. Over a 38-match season that difference works out to roughly 70 extra defensive contribution actions before any attacking upside is factored in.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Botman and Virgil compare?

Accepted Answer

Botman has logged 79 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 630 minutes (11.3 per 90). Virgil has logged 85 across 810 minutes (9.4 per 90). Botman earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 5 of 7 appearances this season; Virgil earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 5 of 9 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 10 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Botman is away at Fulham (FDR 3) and Virgil is away at Crystal Palace (FDR 2) in Gameweek 10. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 10 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

Botman has the DEFCON edge at 11.29 per 90 versus 9.44. That advantage costs £1.4m if Botman is dearer - work out whether the edge is worth the outlay in your specific squad. On DEFCON grounds alone Botman is the better profile, but £1.4m spent elsewhere may return more depending on where you are stretched.

Sven Botman vs Virgil DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 10

Sven Botman vs Virgil: DEFCON Analysis

Botman vs Virgil Gameweek 10

Botman has the better DEFCON rate and is £1.4m cheaper - is it a no-brainer for your squad?