Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Mainoo or Gravenberch?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo is the stronger DEFCON profile at 14.40 actions per 90 against 11.93 for Gravenberch - a gap of 2.47 per 90. Over a 38-match season that difference works out to roughly 94 extra defensive contribution actions before any attacking upside is factored in.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Mainoo and Gravenberch compare?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo has logged 14 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 275 minutes (4.6 per 90). Gravenberch has logged 14 across 181 minutes (7.0 per 90). Mainoo earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 4 appearances this season; Gravenberch earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 0 of 4 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo is at home to Spurs (FDR 3) and Gravenberch is at home to Man City (FDR 4) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which midfielder should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo has the DEFCON edge at 14.40 per 90 versus 11.93. That advantage costs £0.3m if Mainoo is dearer - work out whether the edge is worth the outlay in your specific squad. On DEFCON grounds alone Mainoo is the better profile, but £0.3m spent elsewhere may return more depending on where you are stretched.

Kobbie Mainoo vs Ryan Gravenberch DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Kobbie Mainoo vs Ryan Gravenberch: DEFCON Analysis

Mainoo vs Gravenberch Gameweek 6

Mainoo has the better DEFCON rate and is £0.3m cheaper - is it a no-brainer for your squad?