Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Mainoo or Timber?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo is the stronger DEFCON profile at 14.40 actions per 90 against 12.15 for Timber - a gap of 2.25 per 90. Over a 38-match season that difference works out to roughly 86 extra defensive contribution actions before any attacking upside is factored in.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Mainoo and Timber compare?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo has logged 14 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 275 minutes (4.6 per 90). Timber has logged 13 across 163 minutes (7.2 per 90). Mainoo earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 4 appearances this season; Timber earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 1 of 2 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo is at home to Spurs (FDR 3) and Timber is at home to Nott'm Forest (FDR 3) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which midfielder should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

Mainoo has the DEFCON edge at 14.40 per 90 versus 12.15. That advantage costs £0.5m if Mainoo is dearer - work out whether the edge is worth the outlay in your specific squad. On DEFCON grounds alone Mainoo is the better profile, but £0.5m spent elsewhere may return more depending on where you are stretched.

Kobbie Mainoo vs Quinten Timber DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Kobbie Mainoo vs Quinten Timber: DEFCON Analysis

Mainoo vs Timber Gameweek 6

Mainoo has the DEFCON edge but costs £0.5m more than Timber. Where should the money go?