Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Murillo or Botman?

Accepted Answer

Barely anything in it. Murillo averages 10.53 defensive contribution actions per 90 and Botman averages 10.25 - a gap of 0.28 that is inside the natural noise of any per-90 metric. On the workload alone this is a coin toss and the decision should rest on fixture, price and attacking output rather than DEFCON.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Murillo and Botman compare?

Accepted Answer

Murillo has logged 42 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 359 minutes (10.5 per 90). Botman has logged 41 across 360 minutes (10.3 per 90). Murillo earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 4 appearances this season; Botman earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 2 of 4 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Murillo is away at Crystal Palace (FDR 3) and Botman is away at Coventry City (FDR 2) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

The DEFCON workloads are too close to call. Both Murillo and Botman deliver similar defensive contribution rates, so the pick should come down to price, fixtures and attacking output rather than DEFCON. On the defensive contributions alone this is a genuine coin toss.

Murillo vs Sven Botman DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Murillo vs Sven Botman: DEFCON Analysis

Murillo vs Botman Gameweek 6

Murillo has the DEFCON edge but costs £0.5m more than Botman. Where should the money go?