Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Senesi or Murillo?

Accepted Answer

Senesi is the stronger DEFCON profile at 16.00 actions per 90 against 10.53 for Murillo - a gap of 5.47 per 90. Over a 38-match season that difference works out to roughly 208 extra defensive contribution actions before any attacking upside is factored in.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Senesi and Murillo compare?

Accepted Answer

Senesi has logged 16 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 90 minutes (16.0 per 90). Murillo has logged 42 across 359 minutes (10.5 per 90). Senesi earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 1 of 1 appearances this season; Murillo earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 4 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Senesi is away at Man Utd (FDR 4) and Murillo is away at Crystal Palace (FDR 3) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

Senesi has the DEFCON edge at 16.00 per 90 versus 10.53. That advantage costs £0.3m if Senesi is dearer - work out whether the edge is worth the outlay in your specific squad. On DEFCON grounds alone Senesi is the better profile, but £0.3m spent elsewhere may return more depending on where you are stretched.

Marcos Senesi vs Murillo DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Marcos Senesi vs Murillo: DEFCON Analysis

Senesi vs Murillo Gameweek 6

Senesi has the DEFCON edge but costs £0.3m more than Murillo. Where should the money go?