FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Gabriel Gudmundsson a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 32?

Gameweek 32 · LEE · DEF · £3.8m

Gudmundsson
DEFLEE

Gudmundsson

LEE

59

Pts

-1.0

Form

£3.8m

Price

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Ownership

3.4%

Form (last 6 GWs)

-1.0

Expected pts, GW32

-1.1

Transfers in this GW

4k

FPL ownership

3.4% of managers own Gudmundsson

0%
Strong diffDifferentialMild diff
100%

Fixture run

GW32

Man Utd

Man Utd

Away

GW33

Wolves

Wolves

Home

GW34

No fixture

GW35

Burnley

Burnley

Home

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 3.4% ownership, Gudmundsson has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 3.4% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: -1.1 xPts for GW32 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 2 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 3.4% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 97% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Gudmundsson as a differential in GW32

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 3.4%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 97% of managers who do not own him.
  • Fixture run: 2 manageable fixtures ahead. The schedule supports holding a differential pick beyond this week.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: -1.0 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only -1.1 xPts projected for GW32. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Gudmundsson Differential Analysis Gameweek 32

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 3.4% ownership, Gudmundsson has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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