FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Caoimhín Kelleher a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 2?

Gameweek 2 · Brentford · GKP · £5.0m

Kelleher
GKPBrentford

Kelleher

Brentford

7

Pts

7.0

Form

£5.0m

Price

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Ownership

6.2%

Form (last 6 GWs)

7.0

Expected pts, GW2

2.6

Transfers in this GW

32,714

FPL ownership

6.2% of managers own Kelleher

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW2

Leeds

Leeds

Away

GW3

Sunderland

Sunderland

Home

GW4

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away

GW5

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home

DIFFERENTIAL

At 6.2% ownership, Kelleher qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation.

  • Ownership: 6.2% - solid differential range
  • Expected points: 2.6 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 6.2% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 94% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Kelleher as a differential in GW2

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 6.2%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 94% of managers who do not own him.
  • Form: 7.0 pts/game so far this season - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Expected points: only 2.6 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Kelleher Differential Analysis Gameweek 2

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 6.2% ownership, Kelleher qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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