FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Murillo a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6?

Gameweek 6 · Nott'm Forest · DEF · £5.5m

Murillo
DEFNott'm Forest

Murillo

Nott'm Forest

23

Pts

5.0

Form

£5.5m

Price

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Ownership

2.1%

Form (5 GWs)

5.0

Expected pts, GW6

5

Transfers in this GW

12,621

FPL ownership

2.1% of managers own Murillo

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW6

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Away

GW7

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home

GW8

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

Away

GW9

Brentford

Brentford

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 2.1% ownership, Murillo is a strong differential pick for GW6. The data backs a return - form is solid, the fixture is favourable, and a haul would see you jump past approximately 98% of managers. On the numbers, this is one of the more compelling differential calls available right now.

  • Ownership: 2.1% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 5 xPts for GW6 - reasonable return expectation
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy upside: if you captain Murillo and he returns 12 points, you receive 24. At 2.1% ownership, approximately 98% of managers receive 0 captain points from him. That is the rank swing that makes differential captaincy one of the highest-leverage calls in the game - and the current data supports Murillo as a live option.

The case for Murillo as a strong differential in GW6

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 2.1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 98% of managers who do not own him.
  • Expected points: 5 xPts for GW6 - a reasonable floor for a differential pick. Not elite projection, but viable.
  • Form: 5.0 pts/game - moderate recent output. The differential case is not purely speculative.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.

Murillo Differential Analysis Gameweek 6

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 2.1% ownership, Murillo is a strong differential pick for GW6. The data backs a return - form is solid, the fixture is favourable, and a haul would see you jump past approximately 98% of managers. On the numbers, this is one of the more compelling differential calls available right now. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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