FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Declan Rice a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 8?

Gameweek 8 · Arsenal · MID · £7.3m

Rice
MIDArsenal

Rice

Arsenal

36

Pts

8.0

Form

£7.3m

Price

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Ownership

11.4%

Form

8.0

Expected pts, GW8

8

Transfers in this GW

62,880

FPL ownership

11.4% of managers own Rice

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW8

Everton

Everton

Home

GW9

Liverpool

Liverpool

Away

GW10

Hull City

Hull City

Home

GW11

Newcastle

Newcastle

Away

MILD DIFFERENTIAL

At 11.4% ownership, Rice sits in mild differential territory. The fixture and form data this week support a return, which makes the ownership gap meaningful. A big score would see you gain on a useful portion of the field.

  • Ownership: 11.4% - mild differential
  • Expected points: 8 xPts for GW8 - strong return projection
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy upside: if you captain Rice and he returns 12 points, you receive 24. At 11.4% ownership, approximately 89% of managers receive 0 captain points from him. That is the rank swing that makes differential captaincy one of the highest-leverage calls in the game - and the current data supports Rice as a live option.

Weighing Rice as a differential in GW8

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 11.4%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 89% of managers who do not own him.
  • Expected points: 8 xPts projected for GW8 - the model backs a return at worthwhile odds for a differential play.
  • Form: 8.0 pts/game over the last six gameweeks - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.

Rice Differential Analysis Gameweek 8

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 11.4% ownership, Rice sits in mild differential territory. The fixture and form data this week support a return, which makes the ownership gap meaningful. A big score would see you gain on a useful portion of the field. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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