Ownership
17.7%
Form (last 6 GWs)
3.0
Expected pts, GW2
2.6
Transfers in this GW
18,947
FPL ownership
17.7% of managers own Rice
0%100%
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW2
Aston Villa
Away
GW3
Chelsea
Home
GW4
Sunderland
Away
GW5
Brighton
Away
MILD DIFFERENTIAL
At 17.7% ownership, Rice is a mild differential at best. The ownership gap is not wide enough to make a return rank-defining, and the current data does not strongly support an imminent big haul.
- Ownership: 17.7% - mild differential
- Expected points: 2.6 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
- Fixture run: 2 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Weighing Rice as a differential in GW2
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 17.7%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 82% of managers who do not own him.
- Fixture run: 2 manageable fixtures ahead. The schedule supports holding a differential pick beyond this week.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- Form: 3.0 pts/game - below what you want from a differential who needs to deliver to justify the squad spot.
- Expected points: only 2.6 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
- Low ownership may reflect consensus: when most managers avoid a player, it is worth understanding why before framing it as an opportunity.
Rice Differential Analysis Gameweek 2
Click a question below for the full breakdown.
CF
At 17.7% ownership, Rice is a mild differential at best. The ownership gap is not wide enough to make a return rank-defining, and the current data does not strongly support an imminent big haul. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.
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