Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Donnarumma and buying Raya in Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

In Gameweek 2, 26,942 managers have moved into David Raya while 11,786 have left Gianluigi Donnarumma. The net direction of travel is clear: the FPL market is pricing David Raya as the better short-term asset. Transfer activity of this scale is typically driven by a combination of fixture awareness, expected returns, and ownership risk - all three of which feed into the analysis below.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Donnarumma over Raya in Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

David Raya is currently held by 37.8% of FPL managers against 8.3% for Gianluigi Donnarumma. A 29.5 percentage point ownership gap means that if David Raya returns a double-figure haul in Gameweek 2 and you are still holding Donnarumma, you hand ground directly to that 37.8% ownership block. At scale, that rank movement is significant. The decision is not just about points - it is about where you land relative to the field.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Donnarumma for Raya?

Accepted Answer

This transfer costs £0.5m extra, moving from Gianluigi Donnarumma at £5.5m to David Raya at £6.0m. That upgrade cost needs to be funded from elsewhere in your squad or your bank. The question is whether £6.0m represents a price point that justifies the outlay relative to the expected return differential. At 4.0 projected points for David Raya against 3.3 for Donnarumma, the model backs the premium this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Donnarumma and Raya heading into Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

Gianluigi Donnarumma actually holds the better immediate fixture in Gameweek 2: Crystal Palace (A) rated Medium, compared to David Raya facing Aston Villa (A) rated Hard. If fixture logic alone is driving the 26,942 transfers into Raya, the numbers do not fully support that rationale this week. The case for this transfer may be stronger as a medium-term hold rather than an immediate Gameweek 2 punt.

Should I sell Gianluigi Donnarumma for David Raya? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 2

Gianluigi Donnarumma vs David Raya: Gameweek 2 Transfer Analysis

Donnarumma vs Raya Gameweek 2

This is a £0.5m premium move. Is the upgrade worth it for your rank?