Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Guéhi and buying Calafiori in Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

In Gameweek 2, 117,629 managers have moved into Riccardo Calafiori while 11,626 have left Marc Guéhi. The net direction of travel is clear: the FPL market is pricing Riccardo Calafiori as the better short-term asset. Transfer activity of this scale is typically driven by a combination of fixture awareness, expected returns, and ownership risk - all three of which feed into the analysis below.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Guéhi over Calafiori in Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

Riccardo Calafiori is currently held by 40.4% of FPL managers against 17.6% for Marc Guéhi. A 22.8 percentage point ownership gap means that if Riccardo Calafiori returns a double-figure haul in Gameweek 2 and you are still holding Guéhi, you hand ground directly to that 40.4% ownership block. At scale, that rank movement is significant. The decision is not just about points - it is about where you land relative to the field.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Guéhi for Calafiori?

Accepted Answer

Selling Marc Guéhi at £6.0m for Riccardo Calafiori at £5.5m frees up £0.5m in your transfer bank. That freed budget can be redirected to a stronger position elsewhere in your squad, effectively making this move a two-stage value play: swapping Guéhi for Calafiori while strengthening another area. At 2.5 projected points for Riccardo Calafiori against 2.8 for Guéhi, the model does not strongly support the additional spend this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Guéhi and Calafiori heading into Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

Marc Guéhi actually holds the better immediate fixture in Gameweek 2: Crystal Palace (A) rated Medium, compared to Riccardo Calafiori facing Aston Villa (A) rated Hard. If fixture logic alone is driving the 117,629 transfers into Calafiori, the numbers do not fully support that rationale this week. The case for this transfer may be stronger as a medium-term hold rather than an immediate Gameweek 2 punt.

Should I sell Marc Guéhi for Riccardo Calafiori? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 2

Marc Guéhi vs Riccardo Calafiori: Gameweek 2 Transfer Analysis

Guéhi vs Calafiori Gameweek 2

Making this move frees up £0.5m in your bank.