Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Henderson and buying Raya in Gameweek 1?

Accepted Answer

The combined 0 exits from Dean Henderson and 0 entries into David Raya tell a consistent story heading into Gameweek 1. The transfer market is not dramatically favouring one option over the other in raw volume terms, which means the decision comes down to fixtures, expected points, and your own squad context. The analysis below breaks down each of those factors.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Henderson over Raya in Gameweek 1?

Accepted Answer

David Raya is currently held by 30.7% of FPL managers against 3% for Dean Henderson. A 27.7 percentage point ownership gap means that if David Raya returns a double-figure haul in Gameweek 1 and you are still holding Henderson, you hand ground directly to that 30.7% ownership block. At scale, that rank movement is significant. The decision is not just about points - it is about where you land relative to the field.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Henderson for Raya?

Accepted Answer

This transfer costs £1.0m extra, moving from Dean Henderson at £5.0m to David Raya at £6.0m. That upgrade cost needs to be funded from elsewhere in your squad or your bank. The question is whether £6.0m represents a price point that justifies the outlay relative to the expected return differential. At 4.0 projected points for David Raya against 2.6 for Henderson, the model backs the premium this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Henderson and Raya heading into Gameweek 1?

Accepted Answer

David Raya faces Coventry City (H) in Gameweek 1 - a Easy rated fixture. Dean Henderson draws Everton (A), rated Medium. The fixture swing is the clearest argument for making this move now rather than waiting. Buying into Raya before an easier schedule is a better entry point than chasing after they have already delivered. The 0 managers who have already transferred in have largely acted on this fixture window.

Should I sell Dean Henderson for David Raya? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 1

Dean Henderson vs David Raya: Gameweek 1 Transfer Analysis

Henderson vs Raya Gameweek 1

This upgrade costs £1.0m extra - but Raya has the better fixture run.