Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Henderson and buying Raya in Gameweek 36?

Accepted Answer

In Gameweek 36, 35,767 managers have moved into David Raya while 4,989 have left Dean Henderson. The net direction of travel is clear: the FPL market is pricing David Raya as the better short-term asset. Transfer activity of this scale is typically driven by a combination of fixture awareness, expected returns, and ownership risk - all three of which feed into the analysis below.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Henderson over Raya in Gameweek 36?

Accepted Answer

David Raya is currently held by 35.1% of FPL managers against 8.9% for Dean Henderson. A 26.2 percentage point ownership gap means that if David Raya returns a double-figure haul in Gameweek 36 and you are still holding Henderson, you hand ground directly to that 35.1% ownership block. At scale, that rank movement is significant. The decision is not just about points - it is about where you land relative to the field.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Henderson for Raya?

Accepted Answer

This transfer costs £1.0m extra, moving from Dean Henderson at £5.1m to David Raya at £6.1m. That upgrade cost needs to be funded from elsewhere in your squad or your bank. The question is whether £6.1m represents a price point that justifies the outlay relative to the expected return differential. At 5.5 projected points for David Raya against 5.1 for Henderson, the model backs the premium this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Henderson and Raya heading into Gameweek 36?

Accepted Answer

Dean Henderson faces Everton (H) (Medium) and David Raya draws West Ham (A) (Medium) in Gameweek 36. The fixture comparison is broadly level - neither player holds a clear schedule advantage this week. When fixtures are neutral, expected points (5.1 vs 5.5) and form (2.8 vs 4.5) become the deciding metrics. The full AI verdict factors in all of these simultaneously.

Should I sell Dean Henderson for David Raya? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 36

Dean Henderson vs David Raya: Gameweek 36 Transfer Analysis

Henderson vs Raya Gameweek 36

This is a £1.0m premium move. Is the upgrade worth it for your rank?