Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Shaw and buying Guéhi in Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

In Gameweek 2, 51,647 managers have moved into Marc Guéhi while 40,388 have left Luke Shaw. The net direction of travel is clear: the FPL market is pricing Marc Guéhi as the better short-term asset. Transfer activity of this scale is typically driven by a combination of fixture awareness, expected returns, and ownership risk - all three of which feed into the analysis below.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Shaw over Guéhi in Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

Luke Shaw carries 20.7% ownership against 17.8% for Marc Guéhi. Holding Shaw keeps you aligned with the majority - if they blank, you do not lose rank to most of your rivals. But that same ownership cuts both ways: a Marc Guéhi return while you hold Shaw costs rank against the 17.8% who made the switch. Your rank ambition and mini-league position should shape how you weight this.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Shaw for Guéhi?

Accepted Answer

This transfer costs £1.5m extra, moving from Luke Shaw at £4.5m to Marc Guéhi at £6.0m. That upgrade cost needs to be funded from elsewhere in your squad or your bank. The question is whether £6.0m represents a price point that justifies the outlay relative to the expected return differential. At 2.8 projected points for Marc Guéhi against 1.7 for Shaw, the model backs the premium this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Shaw and Guéhi heading into Gameweek 2?

Accepted Answer

Luke Shaw actually holds the better immediate fixture in Gameweek 2: Ipswich Town (H) rated Easy, compared to Marc Guéhi facing Crystal Palace (A) rated Medium. If fixture logic alone is driving the 51,647 transfers into Guéhi, the numbers do not fully support that rationale this week. The case for this transfer may be stronger as a medium-term hold rather than an immediate Gameweek 2 punt.

Should I sell Luke Shaw for Marc Guéhi? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 2

Luke Shaw vs Marc Guéhi: Gameweek 2 Transfer Analysis

Shaw vs Guéhi Gameweek 2

This is a £1.5m premium move. Is the upgrade worth it for your rank?