FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Yehor Yarmoliuk a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 39?

Gameweek 39 · Brentford · MID · £5.0m

Yarmoliuk
MIDBrentford

Yarmoliuk

Brentford

104

Pts

3.4

Form

£5.0m

Price

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Ownership

0.1%

Form (last 6 GWs)

3.4

Expected pts, GW39

3.7

Transfers in this GW

0

FPL ownership

0.1% of managers own Yarmoliuk

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 0.1% ownership, Yarmoliuk has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 0.1% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 3.7 xPts for GW39 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: mixed picture over the rest of the season

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 0.1% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 100% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Yarmoliuk as a differential in GW39

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 0.1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 100% of managers who do not own him.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 3.4 pts/game - below what you want from a differential who needs to deliver to justify the squad spot.
  • Expected points: only 3.7 xPts projected for GW39. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Yarmoliuk Differential Analysis Gameweek 39

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 0.1% ownership, Yarmoliuk has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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