Ownership
3.6%
Form (last 6 GWs)
5.0
Expected pts, GW2
1.7
Transfers in this GW
8,821
FPL ownership
3.6% of managers own Aina
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW2
Liverpool
Away
GW3
Spurs
Home
GW4
Aston Villa
Away
GW5
Coventry City
Home
At 3.6% ownership, Aina has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.
- Ownership: 3.6% - true differential territory
- Expected points: 1.7 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
- Fixture run: 2 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Differential captaincy
Differential captaincy note: captaining a 3.6% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 96% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.
Weighing Aina as a differential in GW2
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 3.6%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 96% of managers who do not own him.
- Form: 5.0 pts/game - moderate recent output. The differential case is not purely speculative.
- Fixture run: 2 manageable fixtures ahead. The schedule supports holding a differential pick beyond this week.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- Expected points: only 1.7 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
Aina Differential Analysis Gameweek 2
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