FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Ola Aina a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6?

Gameweek 6 · Nott'm Forest · DEF · £4.4m

Aina
DEFNott'm Forest

Aina

Nott'm Forest

8

Pts

1.0

Form

£4.4m

Price

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Ownership

2.3%

Form (5 GWs)

1.0

Expected pts, GW6

1

Transfers in this GW

1,269

FPL ownership

2.3% of managers own Aina

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW6

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Away

GW7

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home

GW8

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

Away

GW9

Brentford

Brentford

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 2.3% ownership, Aina has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 2.3% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 1 xPts for GW6 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 2.3% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 98% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Aina as a differential in GW6

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 2.3%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 98% of managers who do not own him.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 1.0 pts/game over the last 5 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 1 xPts projected for GW6. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Aina Differential Analysis Gameweek 6

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 2.3% ownership, Aina has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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