Ownership
5.2%
Form (last 6 GWs)
2.0
Expected pts, GW2
1
Transfers in this GW
1,643
FPL ownership
5.2% of managers own Davis
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW2
Man Utd
Away
GW3
Liverpool
Home
GW4
Crystal Palace
Away
GW5
Everton
Away
At 5.2% ownership, Davis qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation.
- Ownership: 5.2% - solid differential range
- Expected points: 1 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
- Fixture run: 2 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Differential captaincy
Differential captaincy note: captaining a 5.2% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 95% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.
Weighing Davis as a differential in GW2
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 5.2%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 95% of managers who do not own him.
- Fixture run: 2 manageable fixtures ahead. The schedule supports holding a differential pick beyond this week.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- Form: 2.0 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
- Expected points: only 1 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
- Low ownership may reflect consensus: when most managers avoid a player, it is worth understanding why before framing it as an opportunity.
Davis Differential Analysis Gameweek 2
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