Ownership
7.1%
Form (5 GWs)
8.0
Expected pts, GW6
8
Transfers in this GW
70,230
FPL ownership
7.1% of managers own Davis
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW6
Fulham
Home
GW7
Man City
Away
GW8
Nott'm Forest
Home
GW9
Hull City
Away
At 7.1% ownership, Davis has genuine differential potential in GW6. The fixture and form both support a return this week. If he scores, you gain on approximately 93% of the field.
- Ownership: 7.1% - solid differential range
- Expected points: 8 xPts for GW6 - strong return projection
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Differential captaincy
Differential captaincy upside: if you captain Davis and he returns 12 points, you receive 24. At 7.1% ownership, approximately 93% of managers receive 0 captain points from him. That is the rank swing that makes differential captaincy one of the highest-leverage calls in the game - and the current data supports Davis as a live option.
Weighing Davis as a differential in GW6
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 7.1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 93% of managers who do not own him.
- Expected points: 8 xPts projected for GW6 - the model backs a return at worthwhile odds for a differential play.
- Form: 8.0 pts/game over the last 5 gameweeks - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.
Davis Differential Analysis Gameweek 6
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