
At £4.5m, Bernd Leno faces Coventry City (A) in Gameweek 8, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty. The model projects 4.0 expected points. Form of 4.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks backs the projection. Within the under-£4.5m goalkeeper bracket, 4.0 xPts places Bernd Leno near the top of what this price range currently offers. At 4.3% ownership the rank impact of a return is real but manageable.
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The case for Đorđe Petrović in the under-£4.5m goalkeeper bracket comes down to three things: a Hard fixture against Man Utd (A) in Gameweek 8, 3.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, and 3.0 expected points from the model. At £4.5m, Đorđe Petrović does not require you to sacrifice depth elsewhere in the squad to the same degree as premium options. Owned by 2.8% of managers, the data makes a clear case at this price point.
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Antonín Kinsky is the number 3 ranked goalkeeper under £4.5m heading into Gameweek 8, with the model projecting 2.5 expected points. At £4.5m, that is one of the stronger expected-points-per-pound returns in this bracket. Form of 2.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks backs the projection. A Hard rated fixture against Chelsea (A) provides a clear pathway to a return. Owned by 15.2% of managers, Antonín Kinsky sits in a useful ownership bracket.
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Ranked by expected points for Gameweek 8. Includes all fit goalkeepers priced at or below £4.5m. Updated hourly.
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