Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Botman or Ahanor?

Accepted Answer

Barely anything in it. Botman averages 11.80 defensive contribution actions per 90 and Ahanor averages 11.00 - a gap of 0.80 that is inside the natural noise of any per-90 metric. On the workload alone this is a coin toss and the decision should rest on fixture, price and attacking output rather than DEFCON.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Botman and Ahanor compare?

Accepted Answer

Botman has logged 59 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 450 minutes (11.8 per 90). Ahanor has logged 11 across 90 minutes (11.0 per 90). Botman earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 5 appearances this season; Ahanor earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 1 of 1 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Botman is away at Coventry City (FDR 2) and Ahanor is at home to Nott'm Forest (FDR 3) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

The DEFCON workloads are too close to call. Both Botman and Ahanor deliver similar defensive contribution rates, so the pick should come down to price, fixtures and attacking output rather than DEFCON. On the defensive contributions alone this is a genuine coin toss.

Sven Botman vs Honest Ahanor DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Sven Botman vs Honest Ahanor: DEFCON Analysis

Botman vs Ahanor Gameweek 6

Botman has the DEFCON edge but costs £0.5m more than Ahanor. Where should the money go?