Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Botman or Murillo?

Accepted Answer

Botman is the stronger DEFCON profile at 11.80 actions per 90 against 10.62 for Murillo - a gap of 1.18 per 90. Over a 38-match season that difference works out to roughly 45 extra defensive contribution actions before any attacking upside is factored in.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Botman and Murillo compare?

Accepted Answer

Botman has logged 59 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 450 minutes (11.8 per 90). Murillo has logged 53 across 449 minutes (10.6 per 90). Botman earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 5 appearances this season; Murillo earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 4 of 5 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Botman is away at Coventry City (FDR 2) and Murillo is away at Crystal Palace (FDR 3) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

Botman has the DEFCON edge at 11.80 per 90 versus 10.62. That advantage costs £0.5m if Botman is dearer - work out whether the edge is worth the outlay in your specific squad. On DEFCON grounds alone Botman is the better profile, but £0.5m spent elsewhere may return more depending on where you are stretched.

Sven Botman vs Murillo DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Sven Botman vs Murillo: DEFCON Analysis

Botman vs Murillo Gameweek 6

Botman has the better DEFCON rate and is £0.5m cheaper - is it a no-brainer for your squad?