Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Egan or Affengruber?

Accepted Answer

Barely anything in it. Egan averages 11.13 defensive contribution actions per 90 and Affengruber averages 11.33 - a gap of 0.20 that is inside the natural noise of any per-90 metric. On the workload alone this is a coin toss and the decision should rest on fixture, price and attacking output rather than DEFCON.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Egan and Affengruber compare?

Accepted Answer

Egan has logged 93 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 752 minutes (11.1 per 90). Affengruber has logged 68 across 540 minutes (11.3 per 90). Egan earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 5 of 9 appearances this season; Affengruber earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 4 of 6 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 10 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Egan is away at Arsenal (FDR 5) and Affengruber is at home to Newcastle (FDR 3) in Gameweek 10. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 10 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

The DEFCON workloads are too close to call. Both Egan and Affengruber deliver similar defensive contribution rates, so the pick should come down to price, fixtures and attacking output rather than DEFCON. On the defensive contributions alone this is a genuine coin toss.

John Egan vs David Affengruber DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 10

John Egan vs David Affengruber: DEFCON Analysis

Egan vs Affengruber Gameweek 10

Affengruber has the DEFCON edge but costs £0.4m more than Egan. Where should the money go?