Question 1

Who has the stronger DEFCON rate: Thomas or Murillo?

Accepted Answer

Barely anything in it. Thomas averages 10.71 defensive contribution actions per 90 and Murillo averages 10.62 - a gap of 0.09 that is inside the natural noise of any per-90 metric. On the workload alone this is a coin toss and the decision should rest on fixture, price and attacking output rather than DEFCON.

Question 2

How do the raw defensive workloads of Thomas and Murillo compare?

Accepted Answer

Thomas has logged 52 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles across 437 minutes (10.7 per 90). Murillo has logged 53 across 449 minutes (10.6 per 90). Thomas earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 3 of 5 appearances this season; Murillo earned the +2pt DEFCON bonus in 4 of 5 appearances this season. Higher raw counts reflect a higher defensive workload; higher per-90 rates reflect efficiency at sustaining that workload.

Question 3

Does the Gameweek 6 fixture change the DEFCON case?

Accepted Answer

Thomas is at home to Newcastle (FDR 2) and Murillo is away at Crystal Palace (FDR 3) in Gameweek 6. DEFCON output is action-based rather than result-based, so a tough fixture does not shrink the base rate the way it might reduce a clean sheet probability. That said, both players are more likely to see defensive volume in tougher matches - the DEFCON case can actually be marginally stronger against stronger opposition.

Question 4

Which defender should I pick for Gameweek 6 on DEFCON grounds?

Accepted Answer

The DEFCON workloads are too close to call. Both Thomas and Murillo deliver similar defensive contribution rates, so the pick should come down to price, fixtures and attacking output rather than DEFCON. On the defensive contributions alone this is a genuine coin toss.

Bobby Thomas vs Murillo DEFCON: Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 6

Bobby Thomas vs Murillo: DEFCON Analysis

Thomas vs Murillo Gameweek 6

Thomas has the better DEFCON rate and is £1.5m cheaper - is it a no-brainer for your squad?