The Best FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 4

Form of 5.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Spurs (A) in Gameweek 4 make Tyrique George one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 5.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Tyrique George right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Mikkel Damsgaard heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.0 expected points against Bournemouth (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Lewie Coyle faces Chelsea (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Lewie Coyle delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 7.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 4 make Jayden Bogle one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 7.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.1%. Getting Jayden Bogle right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.0% of FPL managers own Josh King heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 6.3 expected points against Liverpool (A), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 6.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Dan Ndoye faces Aston Villa (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.7%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Dan Ndoye delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 6.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Chelsea (A) in Gameweek 4 make Ryan Giles one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 6.7 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.2%. Getting Ryan Giles right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.3% of FPL managers own Vitaly Janelt heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 7.0 expected points against Bournemouth (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Mohamed Belloumi faces Chelsea (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.9%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Mohamed Belloumi delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Liverpool (A) in Gameweek 4 make Timothy Castagne one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.9%. Getting Timothy Castagne right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.9% of FPL managers own Jaka Bijol heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.0 expected points against Newcastle (H), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Kobbie Mainoo faces Man City (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Kobbie Mainoo delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 5.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 4 make James Justin one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 5.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.5%. Getting James Justin right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.7% of FPL managers own Harvey Barnes heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 98% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 5.7 expected points against Leeds (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 5.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Victor Munoz faces Fulham (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Victor Munoz delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Arsenal (H) in Gameweek 4 make Wilson Isidor one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.3%. Getting Wilson Isidor right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 2.2% of FPL managers own Keane Lewis-Potter heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 98% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 6.0 expected points against Bournemouth (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 6.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Murillo faces Aston Villa (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.6%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Murillo delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Aston Villa (A) in Gameweek 4 make Nikola Milenković one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.6%. Getting Nikola Milenković right when roughly 98% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.8% of FPL managers own Jarrad Branthwaite heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 98% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.3 expected points against Spurs (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Emersonn faces Crystal Palace (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.7%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Emersonn delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brentford (H) in Gameweek 4 make Marcus Tavernier one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 7.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 3.0%. Getting Marcus Tavernier right when roughly 97% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 2.7% of FPL managers own Luka Vuskovic heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 97% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 6.0 expected points against Coventry City (A), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 6.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Anton Stach faces Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 6.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 6.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 2.9%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Anton Stach delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 8.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brentford (H) in Gameweek 4 make Alex Scott one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 8.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 3.7%. Getting Alex Scott right when roughly 96% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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