
The model has Cody Gakpo projected at 9.3 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 9.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Fulham (H), rated Easy for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 12.9% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Bruno Fernandes lines up against Man City (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty. The model projects 9.0 expected points, and 9.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 47.2% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Bruno Fernandes delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Semi Ajayi scores well across all three: a Hard rated tie against Chelsea (A), 8.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 8.3 expected points from the model. Owned by 10.6% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Rayan Cherki projected at 8.3 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 8.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Man Utd (A), rated Hard for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 30.5% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Martin Ødegaard
8.0
xPts
8.0
Form
12.4%
Owned
155,055
Transfers In
Martin Ødegaard lines up against Sunderland (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty. The model projects 8.0 expected points, and 8.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 12.4% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Martin Ødegaard delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Alex Scott scores well across all three: a Medium rated tie against Brentford (H), 8.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 8.0 expected points from the model. Owned by 3.7% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Nobel Mendy projected at 8.0 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 8.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Chelsea (A), rated Hard for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 6.5% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Erling Haaland lines up against Man Utd (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty. The model projects 8.0 expected points, and 8.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 71.2% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Erling Haaland delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. John Egan scores well across all three: a Hard rated tie against Chelsea (A), 7.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 7.7 expected points from the model. Owned by 6.1% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Alexander Isak projected at 7.7 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 7.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Fulham (H), rated Easy for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 19.2% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Riccardo Calafiori
7.3
xPts
7.3
Form
47.0%
Owned
184,545
Transfers In
Riccardo Calafiori lines up against Sunderland (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty. The model projects 7.3 expected points, and 7.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 47.0% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Riccardo Calafiori delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Bukayo Saka scores well across all three: a Medium rated tie against Sunderland (A), 7.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 7.3 expected points from the model. Owned by 11.3% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Jayden Bogle projected at 7.3 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 7.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Newcastle (H), rated Easy for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 1.1% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Joško Gvardiol lines up against Man Utd (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty. The model projects 7.3 expected points, and 7.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 19.6% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Joško Gvardiol delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Marcus Tavernier scores well across all three: a Medium rated tie against Brentford (H), 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 7.0 expected points from the model. Owned by 3.0% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Vitaly Janelt projected at 7.0 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Bournemouth (A), rated Medium for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 1.3% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Maxim De Cuyper
7.0
xPts
7.0
Form
18.9%
Owned
197,147
Transfers In
Maxim De Cuyper lines up against Coventry City (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty. The model projects 7.0 expected points, and 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 18.9% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Maxim De Cuyper delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Cole Palmer scores well across all three: a Easy rated tie against Hull City (H), 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 7.0 expected points from the model. Owned by 21.1% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has João Pedro projected at 7.0 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Hull City (H), rated Easy for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 72.0% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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James Tarkowski lines up against Spurs (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty. The model projects 7.0 expected points, and 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 11.1% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If James Tarkowski delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Bryan Mbeumo scores well across all three: a Hard rated tie against Man City (H), 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 7.0 expected points from the model. Owned by 26.0% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Benjamin White projected at 6.7 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 6.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Sunderland (A), rated Medium for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 7.7% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Ryan Giles lines up against Chelsea (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty. The model projects 6.7 expected points, and 6.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks shows consistent involvement rather than fluke output. Owned by 1.2% of FPL managers, getting the captaincy right here affects rank relative to the bulk of the field. If Ryan Giles delivers a double-figure return, those without the armband will feel it.
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The armband conversation in Gameweek 4 has to account for fixture, form, and projected output. Marc Guéhi scores well across all three: a Hard rated tie against Man Utd (A), 6.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks, and 6.7 expected points from the model. Owned by 18.7% of managers, this is a mainstream captaincy pick, which means getting it right protects rank, and getting it wrong means losing ground to most of the field. The data makes the case clearly.
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The model has Morgan Rogers projected at 6.3 expected points for Gameweek 4, placing them near the top of the captaincy table this week. Recent form of 6.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks backs the projection rather than fighting it. Against Hull City (H), rated Easy for difficulty, the underlying numbers are pointing in the right direction. At 27.3% ownership, doubling their score with the armband could be one of the bigger rank-climbing opportunities of the gameweek.
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Rankings based on FPL expected points for GW4. Excludes goalkeepers and players ruled out. Updated hourly.
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