FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Iliman Ndiaye a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 2?

Gameweek 2 · Everton · MID · £6.0m

Ndiaye
MIDEverton

Ndiaye

Everton

9

Pts

9.0

Form

£6.0m

Price

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Ownership

16%

Form (last 6 GWs)

9.0

Expected pts, GW2

2.2

Transfers in this GW

52,864

FPL ownership

16% of managers own Ndiaye

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW2

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away

GW3

Man Utd

Man Utd

Home

GW4

Spurs

Spurs

Away

GW5

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

Home

MILD DIFFERENTIAL

At 16% ownership, Ndiaye is a mild differential at best. The ownership gap is not wide enough to make a return rank-defining, and the current data does not strongly support an imminent big haul.

  • Ownership: 16% - mild differential
  • Expected points: 2.2 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Weighing Ndiaye as a differential in GW2

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 16%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 84% of managers who do not own him.
  • Form: 9.0 pts/game so far this season - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Expected points: only 2.2 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Ndiaye Differential Analysis Gameweek 2

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 16% ownership, Ndiaye is a mild differential at best. The ownership gap is not wide enough to make a return rank-defining, and the current data does not strongly support an imminent big haul. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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