FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Dan Ndoye a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 3?

Gameweek 3 · Nott'm Forest · MID · £5.5m

Ndoye
MIDNott'm Forest

Ndoye

Nott'm Forest

12

Pts

6.0

Form

£5.5m

Price

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Ownership

0.6%

Form (last 6 GWs)

6.0

Expected pts, GW3

6

Transfers in this GW

17,257

FPL ownership

0.6% of managers own Ndoye

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW3

Spurs

Spurs

Home

GW4

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away

GW5

Coventry City

Coventry City

Home

GW6

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 0.6% ownership, Ndoye is a strong differential pick for GW3. The data backs a return - form is solid, the fixture is favourable, and a haul would see you jump past approximately 99% of managers. On the numbers, this is one of the more compelling differential calls available right now.

  • Ownership: 0.6% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 6 xPts for GW3 - strong return projection
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy upside: if you captain Ndoye and he returns 12 points, you receive 24. At 0.6% ownership, approximately 99% of managers receive 0 captain points from him. That is the rank swing that makes differential captaincy one of the highest-leverage calls in the game - and the current data supports Ndoye as a live option.

The case for Ndoye as a strong differential in GW3

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 0.6%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 99% of managers who do not own him.
  • Expected points: 6 xPts projected for GW3 - the model backs a return at worthwhile odds for a differential play.
  • Form: 6.0 pts/game so far this season - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.

Ndoye Differential Analysis Gameweek 3

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 0.6% ownership, Ndoye is a strong differential pick for GW3. The data backs a return - form is solid, the fixture is favourable, and a haul would see you jump past approximately 99% of managers. On the numbers, this is one of the more compelling differential calls available right now. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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