Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Kelleher and buying Dubravka in Gameweek 4?

Accepted Answer

In Gameweek 4, 19,462 managers have moved into Martin Dubravka while 8,076 have left Caoimhín Kelleher. The net direction of travel is clear: the FPL market is pricing Martin Dubravka as the better short-term asset. Transfer activity of this scale is typically driven by a combination of fixture awareness, expected returns, and ownership risk - all three of which feed into the analysis below.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Kelleher over Dubravka in Gameweek 4?

Accepted Answer

Martin Dubravka is currently held by 18% of FPL managers against 6.9% for Caoimhín Kelleher. A 11.1 percentage point ownership gap means that if Martin Dubravka returns a double-figure haul in Gameweek 4 and you are still holding Kelleher, you hand ground directly to that 18% ownership block. At scale, that rank movement is significant. The decision is not just about points - it is about where you land relative to the field.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Kelleher for Dubravka?

Accepted Answer

Selling Caoimhín Kelleher at £5.0m for Martin Dubravka at £4.0m frees up £1.0m in your transfer bank. That freed budget can be redirected to a stronger position elsewhere in your squad, effectively making this move a two-stage value play: swapping Kelleher for Dubravka while strengthening another area. At 0.0 projected points for Martin Dubravka against 3.7 for Kelleher, the model does not strongly support the additional spend this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Kelleher and Dubravka heading into Gameweek 4?

Accepted Answer

Caoimhín Kelleher faces Bournemouth (A) (Medium) and Martin Dubravka draws Everton (H) (Medium) in Gameweek 4. The fixture comparison is broadly level - neither player holds a clear schedule advantage this week. When fixtures are neutral, expected points (3.7 vs 0.0) and form (3.7 vs 0.0) become the deciding metrics. The full AI verdict factors in all of these simultaneously.

Should I sell Caoimhín Kelleher for Martin Dubravka? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 4

Caoimhín Kelleher vs Martin Dubravka: Gameweek 4 Transfer Analysis

Kelleher vs Dubravka Gameweek 4

Making this move frees up £1.0m in your bank.