Question 1

What does the transfer market look like for selling Kelleher and buying Raya in Gameweek 10?

Accepted Answer

In Gameweek 10, 61,755 managers have moved into David Raya while 10,232 have left Caoimhín Kelleher. The net direction of travel is clear: the FPL market is pricing David Raya as the better short-term asset. Transfer activity of this scale is typically driven by a combination of fixture awareness, expected returns, and ownership risk - all three of which feed into the analysis below.

Question 2

What is the ownership risk of keeping Kelleher over Raya in Gameweek 10?

Accepted Answer

David Raya is currently held by 46.7% of FPL managers against 6.1% for Caoimhín Kelleher. A 40.6 percentage point ownership gap means that if David Raya returns a double-figure haul in Gameweek 10 and you are still holding Kelleher, you hand ground directly to that 46.7% ownership block. At scale, that rank movement is significant. The decision is not just about points - it is about where you land relative to the field.

Question 3

What is the budget impact of selling Kelleher for Raya?

Accepted Answer

This transfer costs £1.2m extra, moving from Caoimhín Kelleher at £5.0m to David Raya at £6.2m. That upgrade cost needs to be funded from elsewhere in your squad or your bank. The question is whether £6.2m represents a price point that justifies the outlay relative to the expected return differential. At 6.0 projected points for David Raya against 3.2 for Kelleher, the model backs the premium this gameweek.

Question 4

How do the fixtures compare for Kelleher and Raya heading into Gameweek 10?

Accepted Answer

David Raya faces Hull City (H) in Gameweek 10 - a Easy rated fixture. Caoimhín Kelleher draws Brighton (A), rated Hard. The fixture swing is the clearest argument for making this move now rather than waiting. Buying into Raya before an easier schedule is a better entry point than chasing after they have already delivered. The 61,755 managers who have already transferred in have largely acted on this fixture window.

Should I sell Caoimhín Kelleher for David Raya? FPL Transfer Analysis Gameweek 10

Caoimhín Kelleher vs David Raya: Gameweek 10 Transfer Analysis

Kelleher vs Raya Gameweek 10

This upgrade costs £1.2m extra - but Raya has the better fixture run.