FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 2.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Erling Haaland is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 111. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £12.0m and £7.5m, there is a £4.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 10. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 54.7% for João Pedro and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £12.0m and £6.0m, there is a £6.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 17.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 92. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Pedro Porro at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 17. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 56. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Marc Guéhi at 29.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 24% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Cunha, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 6. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for Viktor Gyökeres, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 67. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 4.9% for Igor Jesus and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Viktor Gyökeres is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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