FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £5.5m and £15.5m, there is a £10.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Beto generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Erling Haaland at 15.4. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 75% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominik Szoboszlai leads on total points and the gap stands at 46. On attacking output, Dominik Szoboszlai edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 12.7% for Cole Palmer and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £5.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 2.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 49. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £6.5m and £5.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Luke Shaw has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 70. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Neco Williams leads on total points and the gap stands at 11. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 13.3% for Neco Williams and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 20. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 54. On attacking output, Maxence Lacroix edges the combined goals and assists count with 3 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £5.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Neco Williams at 25.6 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 13.3% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for Viktor Gyökeres, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Enzo Le Fée leads on total points and the gap stands at 33. On attacking output, Cole Palmer edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £7.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Jean-Philippe Mateta generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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