FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 111. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £8.0m, there is a £7.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Morgan Rogers at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Morgan Rogers has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 4. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 54.7% for João Pedro and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £7.5m and £7.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Bryan Mbeumo, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominik Szoboszlai leads on total points and the gap stands at 32. On attacking output, Dominik Szoboszlai edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Dominik Szoboszlai.

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Priced at £12.0m and £6.0m, there is a £6.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Enzo Le Fée generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Enzo Le Fée at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 12.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 73. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Marc Guéhi at 29.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 24% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24.5% for Luke Shaw and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Declan Rice the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Marc Guéhi is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 25. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 37. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cunha at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Bryan Mbeumo, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 54. On attacking output, Maxence Lacroix edges the combined goals and assists count with 3 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Thiago at 22.6 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.8% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Cunha, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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