FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 2.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Erling Haaland is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 9. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 30.8% for Morgan Rogers and 47.7% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £5.5m and £15.5m, there is a £10.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Beto generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Erling Haaland at 15.4. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 75% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 42. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 22% for Antoine Semenyo and 47.7% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.5% and 47.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: João Pedro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 63. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 4.9% for Igor Jesus and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £8.0m and £5.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 4. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 23.9% for Pedro Porro and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Enzo Le Fée generates more points per million this season. Enzo Le Fée at 24.5 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Morgan Rogers the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 12.3% and 30.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Marc Guéhi, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 55. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cunha at 17.9 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cunha the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 14.5% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 75. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.5% and 17.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 5. On attacking output, Cunha edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 14.5% for Cunha and 16.5% for Bryan Mbeumo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Cunha.

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Priced at £6.0m and £9.5m, there is a £3.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Cole Palmer at 12. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 12.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Bryan Mbeumo, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 39. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 13.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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