FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Igor Thiago, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £6.0m, there is a £9.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Igor Jesus at 19. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 4.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 85. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £12.0m and £8.5m, there is a £3.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Dominik Szoboszlai at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 121. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 47.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Morgan Rogers at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 109. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 17.5% for Ezri Konsa, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Luke Shaw has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 74. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £5.0m and £4.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Neco Williams at 25.6 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Neco Williams the edge at 2.2 projected points. With ownership at 13.3% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Cunha edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Cunha.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Riccardo Calafiori leads on total points and the gap stands at 9. On attacking output, Riccardo Calafiori edges the combined goals and assists count with 3 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 17.5% for Ezri Konsa, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Riccardo Calafiori.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bryan Mbeumo generates more points per million this season. Cunha at 17.9 against Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cunha the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 14.6% and 16.4% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 39. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £7.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Jean-Philippe Mateta generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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