FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Ollie Watkins, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 135. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. João Pedro at 23.6 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 54.7% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Bryan Mbeumo, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominik Szoboszlai leads on total points and the gap stands at 13. On attacking output, Dominik Szoboszlai edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Dominik Szoboszlai.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 33. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 30.9% for Morgan Rogers and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £8.0m and £5.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Pedro Porro at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 55. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 12.7% for Cole Palmer and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Enzo Le Fée generates more points per million this season. Enzo Le Fée at 24.5 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Morgan Rogers the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 12.2% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Virgil, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 23.9% for Pedro Porro and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £6.5m and £6.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 51. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 20. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 53. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £5.5m and £5.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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