FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 147. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £6.0m, there is a £9.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Igor Jesus at 19. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 4.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Morgan Rogers at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Morgan Rogers has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 4. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 54.7% for João Pedro and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 47.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Nico O'Reilly, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 66. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.4% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Morgan Rogers at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 34. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Brian Brobbey the edge at 2.0 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 20.6% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ezri Konsa is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24.5% for Luke Shaw and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 70. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.5m and £6.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 36. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 1. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £5.5m and £5.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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