FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

Priced at £6.0m and £15.5m, there is a £9.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Erling Haaland generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Erling Haaland at 15.4. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 75% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 2.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Erling Haaland is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £7.5m and £7.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Morgan Rogers at 22.5 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Morgan Rogers the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 30.9% and 47.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 49. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £12.0m and £6.0m, there is a £6.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 17.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 96. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £5.5m and £4.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Luke Shaw generates more points per million this season. Pedro Porro at 21.3 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Pedro Porro the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 23.9% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 22. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £6.5m and £6.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 32. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 13.3% for Neco Williams and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 1. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Jesus leads on total points and the gap stands at 22. On attacking output, Igor Jesus edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Brian Brobbey.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Igor Jesus at 19. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Dominic Calvert-Lewin the edge at 2.0 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 4.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Jean-Philippe Mateta has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 53. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 4.9% for Igor Jesus and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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