FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Igor Thiago, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £12.0m and £7.5m, there is a £4.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 49. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. João Pedro at 23.6 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 54.7% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 92. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 14.6% for Cunha, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £12.0m and £9.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bruno Fernandes generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Cole Palmer at 12. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 12.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 96. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £5.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Nico O'Reilly has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 55. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 12.7% for Cole Palmer and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 70. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Neco Williams leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.3% for Neco Williams and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.2 expected points for Neco Williams.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Iliman Ndiaye leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Cole Palmer edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £5.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Neco Williams at 25.6 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 13.3% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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