FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Ollie Watkins, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 4. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 54.7% for João Pedro and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £12.0m and £8.0m, there is a £4.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bruno Fernandes generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 16.4% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: João Pedro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 4. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 23.9% for Pedro Porro and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 43. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Cunha at 17.9 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cunha the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 14.6% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 55. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 12.7% for Cole Palmer and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £8.0m and £4.5m, there is a £3.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Morgan Rogers at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 50. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 20.6% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Brian Brobbey.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Declan Rice the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 1.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 70. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Iliman Ndiaye leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Cole Palmer edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Maxence Lacroix at 25.7. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 12% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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