FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £7.5m and £7.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cunha at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 88. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 12.3% for Enzo Le Fée, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £7.5m and £7.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Declan Rice at 24.5 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Declan Rice the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 22.3% and 30.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Marc Guéhi, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Marc Guéhi is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.5% and 30.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Luke Shaw has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 60. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £5.5m and £4.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Luke Shaw generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Viktor Gyökeres is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 34. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 16.5% for Bryan Mbeumo and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Maxence Lacroix at 25.7. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 12% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cunha at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Enzo Le Fée is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 39. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 13.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Viktor Gyökeres leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Viktor Gyökeres edges the combined goals and assists count with 15 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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