FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £8.0m, there is a £7.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 1.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 35. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.5% and 47.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 66. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.5m and £4.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Luke Shaw generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Marc Guéhi, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 17. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Luke Shaw at 25.1 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24.5% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 56. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £5.0m and £4.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Neco Williams at 25.6 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Neco Williams the edge at 2.2 projected points. With ownership at 13.2% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Maxence Lacroix edges the combined goals and assists count with 3 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £5.5m and £4.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Ezri Konsa generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Ollie Watkins, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Thiago has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 28. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 38. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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