FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 30. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £6.0m and £4.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 34. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £5.0m, there is a £3.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Bryan Mbeumo, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Neco Williams leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.3% for Neco Williams and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.2 expected points for Neco Williams.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Maxence Lacroix at 25.7. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 12% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.9 for Antoine Semenyo, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 20.6% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £5.5m and £4.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Ezri Konsa generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Enzo Le Fée at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Iliman Ndiaye is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 53. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Thiago at 22.6 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.8% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for Viktor Gyökeres, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 67. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Jean-Philippe Mateta has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Viktor Gyökeres leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Viktor Gyökeres edges the combined goals and assists count with 15 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Jesus leads on total points and the gap stands at 10. On attacking output, Igor Jesus edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Igor Jesus.

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