FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 75. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £15.5m and £8.0m, there is a £7.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Dominik Szoboszlai at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 92. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 14.6% for Cunha, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £12.0m and £9.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bruno Fernandes generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Cole Palmer at 12. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 12.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 49. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £6.0m and £4.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cunha at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 18. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 22.3% for Declan Rice and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Enzo Le Fée generates more points per million this season. Enzo Le Fée at 24.5 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Morgan Rogers the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 12.2% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Virgil, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24.5% for Luke Shaw and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 8. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Riccardo Calafiori.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Cunha edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Cunha.

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Priced at £5.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Neco Williams at 25.6 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 13.3% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Ollie Watkins, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Thiago has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Cunha leads on total points and the gap stands at 29. On attacking output, Cunha edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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