FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 75. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 47.7% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £15.5m and £8.0m, there is a £7.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 87. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 16.5% for Bryan Mbeumo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Dominik Szoboszlai the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 47.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Cunha, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cunha is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 30. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Pedro Porro at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 30.8% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £6.5m and £5.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Declan Rice has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24.5% for Luke Shaw and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.9 for Antoine Semenyo, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 37. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 12.3% for Enzo Le Fée and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.5% and 17.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Viktor Gyökeres leads on total points and the gap stands at 24. On attacking output, Viktor Gyökeres edges the combined goals and assists count with 15 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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