FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Ezri Konsa a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 38?

Gameweek 38 · Aston Villa · DEF · £4.4m

Konsa
DEFAston Villa

Konsa

Aston Villa

100

Pts

1.0

Form

£4.4m

Price

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Ownership

7.1%

Form (last 6 GWs)

1.0

Expected pts, GW38

0.5

Transfers in this GW

1,685

FPL ownership

7.1% of managers own Konsa

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW38

Man City

Man City

Away

DIFFERENTIAL

At 7.1% ownership, Konsa qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation.

  • Ownership: 7.1% - solid differential range
  • Expected points: 0.5 xPts for GW38 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: mixed picture over the final gameweek of the season

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 7.1% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 93% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Konsa as a differential in GW38

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 7.1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 93% of managers who do not own him.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 1.0 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 0.5 xPts projected for GW38. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Konsa Differential Analysis Gameweek 38

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 7.1% ownership, Konsa qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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